Luki-EnergiyavsCherepovets

Luki-Energiya are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cherepovets are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luki-Energiya hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Cup, while Luki-Energiya holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.