Luki-Energiyavs
Cherepovets
COMPLETEDRussia · Cup · 8/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luki-Energiya · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Luki-Energiya 4-1 Cherepovets
Original prediction
Luki-Energiya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.7% | 44.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 27.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.3% | 28.2% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Luki-Energiya
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Luki-Energiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40