Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lujan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lujan are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Yupanqui are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lujan hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.9% in the Primera C, while Lujan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lujan
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
20.9%
Lujan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00