Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lujan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lujan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fénix are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lujan hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (61.6 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.7% in the Primera C, while Lujan holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lujan
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
26.7%
Lujan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20