Lujanvs
Deportivo Paraguayo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lujan · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lujan 1-0 Deportivo Paraguayo, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lujan 3-0 Deportivo Paraguayo
Original prediction
Lujan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.1% | 49.7% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 29.2% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 6.44 | 14.0% | 21.1% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Projected Score
Lujan 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Lujan
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Lujan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LujanLWDWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo ParaguayoWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LujanDeportivo Paraguayo
48.1Attack22.2
72.8Defence60.5
60.5Form33.3
61.8Power41.2
1.31xG0.32