GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lujan · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Lujan 0-0 Atletico Atlas, with an exact score probability of 28%.

Prediction record

Final result

Lujan 1-0 Atletico Atlas

Original prediction

Lujan

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7151.8%53.1%1.3 pts
Draw2.9829.6%31.8%2.2 pts
Away4.7518.6%15.1%-3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.3 pts

Projected Score

Lujan 0–0 Atletico Atlas

Exact score probability: 28%

Predicted outcome

Lujan

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Lujan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LujanWLWDW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico AtlasLDLWW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
LujanAtletico Atlas
50.0Attack26.2
73.8Defence71.4
61.9Form42.9
62.9Power49.2
0.96xG0.36
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