Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lugo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Lugo
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Lugo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LugoWWWWD
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mérida ADWLLLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LugoMérida AD
50.0Attack0.0
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form0.0
50.0Power23.7
1.32xG0.92