GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/2/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo La Coruna · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Lugo are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Deportivo La Coruna are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DLWD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo La Coruna hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (48.2 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while Deportivo La Coruna holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo La Coruna

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Deportivo La Coruna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LugoWLWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
Deportivo La CorunaDLWD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/0.50

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
LugoDeportivo La Coruna
34.2Attack56.1
59.6Defence76.3
43.9Form68.4
48.2Power67.5
0.50xG1.31
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