Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rostov II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Lugansk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rostov II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rostov II hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.1% in the Second League - Group 1, while Rostov II holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rostov II
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
71.1%
Rostov II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00