GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lugansk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Lugansk are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Chayka 2 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugansk hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 23.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Second League - Group 1, while Lugansk holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lugansk

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Lugansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuganskLDDDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK Chayka 2LLLDL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LuganskFK Chayka 2
33.3Attack19.3
50.0Defence24.6
35.2Form14.0
41.8Power23.0
1.70xG0.66
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