Luganskvs
FK Chayka 2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 5/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lugansk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lugansk are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FK Chayka 2 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugansk hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 23.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Second League - Group 1, while Lugansk holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lugansk
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Lugansk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80