Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Druzhba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Lugansk are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Druzhba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Second League - Group 1, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Druzhba
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/3.50
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80