Luganovs
Victoriano Arenas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lugano are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Victoriano Arenas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
37.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40