Luganovs
Puerto Nuevo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 5/10/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lugano are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Puerto Nuevo are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.2% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
31.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40