Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lugano 0-0 Lujan, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lugano 1-2 Lujan
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Projected Score
Lugano 0–0 Lujan
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuganoDWWWD
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LujanLWWWD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LuganoLujan
39.1Attack44.9
71.0Defence73.9
52.2Form60.9
55.6Power61.6
0.65xG0.73