Luganovs
Leones de Rosario
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lugano 0-0 Leones de Rosario, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lugano 0-0 Leones de Rosario
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 30.8% | 33.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.67 | 33.5% | 34.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 35.7% | 31.5% | -4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.67 · Draw 1.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Lugano 0–0 Leones de Rosario
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuganoWDWLD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Leones de RosarioWWWLW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LuganoLeones de Rosario
38.3Attack32.1
71.6Defence72.8
53.1Form53.1
56.0Power55.1
0.67xG0.50