Luganovs
Deportivo Paraguayo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 5/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lugano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Lugano are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deportivo Paraguayo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the Primera C, while Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lugano
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80