Luganovs
Defensores de Cambaceres
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lugano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Lugano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores de Cambaceres are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.4% in the Primera C, while Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lugano
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
25.4%
Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20