GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 4/4/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lugano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Lugano are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores de Cambaceres are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lugano hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.4% in the Primera C, while Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lugano

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

25.4%

Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LuganoWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores de CambaceresWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LuganoDefensores de Cambaceres
39.1Attack27.5
71.0Defence62.3
52.2Form36.2
55.6Power44.0
0.99xG0.42
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