Luganovs
Berazategui
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Lugano 0-0 Berazategui, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
Lugano 1-1 Berazategui
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 33.2% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.70 | 33.3% | 36.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.3% | 30.5% | -5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.70 · Draw 1.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Lugano 0–0 Berazategui
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuganoWLDWW
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BerazateguiLDLWD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
LuganoBerazategui
38.7Attack34.7
70.7Defence74.7
52.0Form49.3
55.4Power54.6
0.64xG0.56