GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lugano II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lugano II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Prishtina Bern are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Prishtina Bern hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 55.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Lugano II holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lugano II

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Lugano II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lugano IILDWLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Prishtina BernLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lugano IIPrishtina Bern
41.7Attack58.3
75.0Defence41.7
41.7Form62.5
52.8Power55.1
1.80xG1.43
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