Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lugano II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lugano II 4-3 Luzern II
Original prediction
Lugano II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Lugano II
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
7.6%
Lugano II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lugano IILLDDL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Luzern IIWLWLD
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Lugano IILuzern II
50.0Attack59.8
36.3Defence33.3
39.2Form42.2
43.7Power46.7
2.18xG2.15