Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lugano II 3-0 Basel II
Original prediction
Basel II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Basel II
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Basel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Lugano IILWLWL
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Basel IIWWLWL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Lugano IIBasel II
61.1Attack72.2
0.0Defence33.3
33.3Form50.0
35.3Power53.0
2.21xG2.77