GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/28/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ludogorets are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shkendija are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LudogoretsLDLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ShkendijaDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsShkendija
66.7Attack50.0
41.7Defence16.7
50.0Form50.0
51.9Power42.7
2.02xG1.39
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