Ludogoretsvs
Shkendija
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/28/2025, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shkendija are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60