GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/2/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ludogorets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Real Betis are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Betis hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LudogoretsWWDDW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real BetisWDWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LudogoretsReal Betis
66.7Attack50.0
41.7Defence61.1
50.0Form50.0
51.9Power54.8
1.53xG1.44
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