Ludogoretsvs
Petrocub
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/22/2024, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Petrocub are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 36.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40