Ludogoretsvs
PAOK
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/11/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while PAOK are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00