GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/23/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ludogorets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LudogoretsDWDWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC MidtjyllandWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LudogoretsFC Midtjylland
66.7Attack0.0
41.7Defence50.0
50.0Form0.0
51.9Power21.5
1.95xG1.16
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