Ludogoretsvs
FC Astana
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 8/17/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Astana are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60