GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/22/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ludogorets · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Ludogorets are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Etar Veliko Tarnovo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold a 57.6-point power-rating edge (85.7 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.4% in the First League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ludogorets

Probability

81.4%

Model confidence

81.4%

Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LudogoretsWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Etar Veliko TarnovoLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LudogoretsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
66.7Attack21.0
80.0Defence37.1
100.0Form16.2
85.7Power28.0
2.61xG0.41
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