Ludogoretsvs
Celta Vigo
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Celta Vigo are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Celta Vigo hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 55.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40