Ludogoretsvs
AZ Alkmaar
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while AZ Alkmaar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 51.9 against 53.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Ludogorets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00