GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ludogorets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Athletic Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Athletic Club

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LudogoretsWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubDDWWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LudogoretsAthletic Club
66.7Attack52.4
41.7Defence59.5
50.0Form61.9
51.9Power58.7
1.43xG1.55
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