Ludogoretsvs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ludogorets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Athletic Club are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Athletic Club hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Athletic Club holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Athletic Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80