LudogoretsvsAjax

Ludogorets are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ajax are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ludogorets hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ludogorets holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.