Ludogorets IIvs
Hebar 1918
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ludogorets II 1-1 Hebar 1918
Original prediction
Ludogorets II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.6% | 38.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.6% | 27.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 33.9% | 35.0% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets II
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Ludogorets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20