Ludogorets IIvs
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
SCHEDULEDBulgaria · Second League · 11/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ludogorets II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.5% | 39.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 27.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 32.7% | 32.4% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Ludogorets II
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Ludogorets II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ludogorets IILDWLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Etar Veliko TarnovoLLWLD
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ludogorets IIEtar Veliko Tarnovo
30.0Attack56.7
66.7Defence36.7
40.0Form46.7
47.3Power47.9
1.21xG1.04