Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Täfteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lucksta 1-2 Täfteå
Original prediction
Täfteå
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.9% | 25.9% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 18.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 41.0% | 55.2% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Täfteå
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Täfteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuckstaLLWDL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TäfteåWWLLL
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LuckstaTäfteå
59.1Attack77.3
27.3Defence48.5
37.9Form56.1
42.6Power58.7
1.93xG3.33