Luckstavs
Skellefteå
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skellefteå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lucksta 2-1 Skellefteå
Original prediction
Skellefteå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 28.1% | 21.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.5% | 18.8% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.92 | 48.4% | 59.6% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Skellefteå
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Skellefteå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 16 · avg 2.00/3.20
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80