Luckstavs
IFK Östersund
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Östersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lucksta 2-5 IFK Östersund
Original prediction
IFK Östersund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 30.6% | 26.5% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.8% | 20.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.5% | 53.3% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–37%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
IFK Östersund
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
IFK Östersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80