Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Solin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lucko 0-1 Solin
Original prediction
Solin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.0% | 23.5% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 22.6% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.0% | 53.9% | 25.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
25.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–212%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Solin
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
53.9%
Solin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuckoWDLDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SolinLDWWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LuckoSolin
35.6Attack60.0
48.9Defence63.3
32.2Form60.0
40.8Power60.1
0.79xG1.79