Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jarun · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lucko 1-1 Jarun
Original prediction
Jarun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Jarun
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Jarun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuckoLDWLL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JarunDLDLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LuckoJarun
35.6Attack50.0
48.9Defence50.0
32.2Form50.0
40.8Power50.0
1.09xG1.43