Luckovs
Grobničan Čavle
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lucko · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lucko 1-1 Grobničan Čavle
Original prediction
Lucko
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 42.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.5% | 28.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.6% | 29.2% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Lucko
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Lucko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LuckoDWLLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Grobničan ČavleWDLLW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LuckoGrobničan Čavle
37.0Attack44.4
59.3Defence33.3
33.3Form40.7
44.2Power40.6
1.61xG1.03