Luckenwaldevs
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Carl Zeiss Jena · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Luckenwalde 0-2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Luckenwalde 1-2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Original prediction
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.47 | 20.2% | 7.7% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 20.9% | 12.7% | -8.2 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 58.9% | 79.6% | 20.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.7 pts
Projected Score
Luckenwalde 0–2 FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Probability
79.6%
Model confidence
79.6%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20