Luckenwaldevs
BAK '07
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 7/30/2023, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luckenwalde · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Luckenwalde are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while BAK '07 are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Luckenwalde hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 27.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Regionalliga - Nordost, while Luckenwalde holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luckenwalde
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Luckenwalde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.33/3.00