Śląsk Wrocław IIvs
Legia Warszawa II
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Śląsk Wrocław II 2-2 Legia Warszawa II
Original prediction
Legia Warszawa II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 39.9% | 34.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 25.7% | 26.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.4% | 38.3% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa II
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00