Śląsk Wrocław IIvs
Hutnik Kraków
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hutnik Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Śląsk Wrocław II 2-0 Hutnik Kraków
Original prediction
Hutnik Kraków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.1% | 30.9% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.5% | 25.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.4% | 43.8% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Hutnik Kraków
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Hutnik Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40