Lørenskogvs
Trygg/Lade
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 2 · 10/11/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lørenskog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lørenskog 3-3 Trygg/Lade
Original prediction
Lørenskog
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.3% | 69.5% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.3% | 16.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.4% | 14.3% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Lørenskog
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
Lørenskog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00