Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lørenskog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lørenskog 4-1 Skeid
Original prediction
Lørenskog
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.7% | 53.0% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.3% | 22.1% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.0% | 25.0% | -7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Lørenskog
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Lørenskog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LørenskogLWDLL
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SkeidLLLWD
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LørenskogSkeid
48.3Attack45.0
46.7Defence28.3
50.0Form28.3
48.3Power34.4
2.42xG1.30