Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kjelsås · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lørenskog 2-3 Kjelsås
Original prediction
Kjelsås
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.51 | 16.4% | 20.1% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.5% | 17.7% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.43 | 63.1% | 62.2% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Kjelsås
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Kjelsås has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LørenskogDLWLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KjelsåsWWDLL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LørenskogKjelsås
52.2Attack76.8
42.0Defence53.6
49.3Form72.5
47.7Power67.5
1.52xG2.68