Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lørenskog · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lørenskog 1-1 Junkeren
Original prediction
Lørenskog
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.5% | 52.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.2% | 20.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.3% | 27.0% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Lørenskog
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Lørenskog has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LørenskogLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JunkerenDLWLW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LørenskogJunkeren
52.9Attack47.1
43.1Defence41.2
51.0Form41.2
48.6Power44.8
2.11xG1.50