Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penuel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lozova are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Penuel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Penuel hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Druha Liga, while Penuel holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Penuel
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Penuel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20