Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lozova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lozova are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlet are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lozova hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Druha Liga, while Lozova holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lozova
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
12.4%
Lozova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.33/2.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00