Loznicavs
Semendrija 1924
COMPLETEDSerbia · Prva Liga · 10/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Semendrija 1924 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Loznica 1-0 Semendrija 1924
Original prediction
Semendrija 1924
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.70 | 33.3% | 29.5% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.6% | 28.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.1% | 41.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Semendrija 1924
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Semendrija 1924 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80